#AceNewsServices – October 06 – Scientists estimate there’s a 75 percent chance the Ebola virus could spread to France and a 50 percent chance it could reach UK by the end of October.
The latest research analyses the pattern of infection and airline traffic.
The consensus among health officials is now that the deadly virus is no longer just an African problem, and key to this assessment are the European Union’s free movement policy and the deceptive incubation period, allowing the person to spread the infection unaware.
France has the worst statistics out of all the European countries because the worst-hit countries in Africa are French-speaking, including Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia, according to the study‘Assessing the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak’.
“If this thing continues to rage on in West Africa and indeed gets worse, as some people have predicted, then it’s only a matter of time before one of these cases ends up on a plane to Europe,”expert in viruses from Britain’s Lancaster University, Derek Gatherer, said.
The next country on the list after France and the UK is Belgium, with a 40 percent chance of infection. Meanwhile, Spain and Switzerland face smaller risks of the virus breaching its borders with 14 percent.
One of the key elements in analyzing the spread of the disease is air traffic, the leader behind the research, Alex Vespignani, from Northeastern University in Boston told Reuters.
Sources:RT – Reuters – AFP – USA Today
“As of 12 September, we are at 4,784 cases and more than 2,400 deaths,” AFP quoted the head of the UN health agency, Margaret Chan, as saying in Geneva.
Ebola virus disease – Democratic Republic of Congo
Disease outbreak news
10 September 2014
Between 2 and 9 September 2014, there have been 31 more cases of Ebola virus disease (EVD) reported in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), increasing the cumulative number of cases to 62 (14 confirmed, 26 probable, and 22 suspect). In total, 35 deaths have been reported (9 confirmed and 26 probable).
No deaths have been reported among suspected cases. Nine health-care workers have been diagnosed with EVD, including 7 deaths. All the cases have been localized in Jeera county. The affected villages are Watsi Kengo, Lokolia, Boende, and Boende Muke. Currently, 9 cases have been hospitalized: 4 in Lokolia; 2 in Watsikengo; 2 in Boende; and 1 in Boende Moke. A total of 386 contacts have been listed and 239 contacts have been followed-up.
All cases and contacts are linked to the initial index case reported to the World Health Organization on 26 August 2014.
#AceWorldNews says that AP has reported that researchers have revived a giant virus more than 30,000 years old, recovered from the permafrost of north-east Siberia.
The virus poses no threat to people,
Although it is considered a giant when compared to other viruses, it is microscopic and infects amoebas.